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0xce45ac...39aa7b

0xce45ac...39aa7b
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
47.4%
Total P&L
-$81
Trade Count
176
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Sortino Ratio
17.76
Max Drawdown
770.2%
ROI
-14.6%
Profit Factor
0.57
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY24.9¢20.08Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY23.0¢21.727Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.8¢24.038Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.6¢24.258Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.6¢24.232Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY21.0¢23.857Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.8¢24.038Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY20.8¢23.995Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.1¢24.876Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY11.6¢43.196Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.4¢24.51Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY9.9¢50.34Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY20.5¢24.333Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY10.0¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY18.8¢26.532Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY9.7¢51.415Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY15.0¢33.333Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY9.0¢55.843Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY14.8¢33.784Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY5.9¢84.217Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%11%10–20%26%20–30%16%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%
Win Consistency43.9%
Profit Factor0.63
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity176 trades · 22 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3744d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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