0xce52c3...ba7565

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.5%

Total P&L

+$723

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.13

Sortino Ratio

0.18

Max Drawdown

197.3%

ROI

6.8%

Profit Factor

13.35

Kelly Fraction

0.809

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	444.519	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	134.164	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	637.097	Feb 28
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	43.403	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	384.864	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	308.63	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	708.9	Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	138.918	Jan 29
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	16.821	Jan 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	352.842	Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	74.536	Jan 18
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	162.888	Jan 18
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	BUY	99.0¢	55.071	Dec 29
Trump out as President in 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	28.164	Dec 27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	98.5¢	232.152	Dec 25
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	465.885	Dec 22
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	BUY	87.0¢	510.414	Dec 16
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	16.466	Dec 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	27.0¢	724.37	Nov 20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	195.312	Oct 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.4%

Win Consistency72.7%

Profit Factor0.98

Drawdown Resilience0.79

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity70 trades · 60 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,04211d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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