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0xce5cf6...e06934

0xce5cf6...e06934
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
30.8%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
20
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
0.59
Max Drawdown
204.3%
ROI
-5.5%
Profit Factor
0.18
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?BUY96.0¢3.646Mar 5
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY98.5¢3.046Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.3¢6.59Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY92.0¢3.707Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL92.0¢3.55Mar 1
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL90.0¢4.34Feb 28
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?SELL93.0¢5.53Feb 27
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY85.0¢5.424Feb 25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.0¢6.593Feb 24
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL95.0¢3.59Feb 23
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY89.0¢6.742Feb 20
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?SELL79.0¢6.25Feb 20
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?BUY80.0¢6.25Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY88.0¢6.136Feb 18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY93.0¢3.559Feb 17
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY94.2¢3.599Feb 16
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?BUY94.0¢5.532Feb 14
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY92.0¢4.348Feb 14
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY90.8¢4.626Feb 8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY77.0¢6.481Feb 7

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%7%70–80%29%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.1%
Win Consistency53.8%
Profit Factor0.09
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.05
Trading Activity20 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$356d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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