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0xce70f5...f10be2

0xce70f5...f10be2
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
58.1%
Total P&L
-$786
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Sortino Ratio
0.46
Max Drawdown
772.7%
ROI
-2.5%
Profit Factor
0.87
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
010.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL71.0¢8.05Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL70.8¢36.25Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?BUY93.0¢10Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL35.0¢26.76Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL37.0¢65.96Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL37.0¢22.784Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL37.0¢8.622Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL37.0¢41.811Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL37.0¢50Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL37.0¢51.65Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL95.5¢42.68Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢51.52Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.21Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.2Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.24Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.21Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.33Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.41Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.35Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL45.0¢0.34Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%3%10–20%7%20–30%20%30–50%22%50–70%12%70–80%12%80–90%23%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%
Win Consistency50.1%
Profit Factor0.28
Drawdown Resilience0.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.17
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 72 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,82712d profit60d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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