0xce83be...2dc385

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.3%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

416

Sharpe Ratio

-1.94

Sortino Ratio

-1.74

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	78.4¢	6.21	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	8.27	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	9.65	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	10.3	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	6.15	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	4.56	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	1.384	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	8.04	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	5.952	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	8.52	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.8¢	6.012	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.0¢	8.511	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.4¢	5.17	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.6¢	5.177	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.1¢	5.13	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.0%

Win Consistency45.8%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity416 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$4349d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue