0xce952b...bce73d

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.5%

Total P&L

+$4.0K

Trade Count

1,001

Sharpe Ratio

1.66

Sortino Ratio

23.83

Max Drawdown

1164.2%

ROI

13.8%

Profit Factor

71.27

Kelly Fraction

0.843

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.23	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.1	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	0.76	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	0.32	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	99.9¢	36.82	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	98.8¢	34.12	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	22.21	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.8¢	30.02	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	12.0¢	45.01	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	12.0¢	17.87	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	12.0¢	9.99	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	12.0¢	32.12	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	120	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	11.0¢	180.59	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	10	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	49.8¢	4.18	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	SELL	99.7¢	214.22	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.7%

Win Consistency47.0%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity1,001 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,6559d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue