0xcea6a3...ec04c8

Smart Score

Win Rate

94.4%

Total P&L

-$130

Trade Count

385

Sharpe Ratio

-0.41

Sortino Ratio

-0.27

Max Drawdown

1017.1%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.62

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Hillary say "Monica" or "Lewinsky" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.8¢	70	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	10.27	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.15	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	99.6¢	15.402	Mar 4
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	15	Mar 3
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	147.698	Mar 2
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	96.7¢	150	Mar 2
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	96.4¢	150	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	100	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	SELL	99.4¢	40	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	BUY	99.3¢	40	Mar 1
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	15.33	Mar 1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	100	Mar 1
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	53.0¢	85	Feb 21
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	97.2¢	46.9	Feb 21
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	53.0¢	300	Feb 21
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	97.3¢	12.71	Feb 21
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	97.3¢	1.552	Feb 21
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	97.3¢	6.57	Feb 21

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency61.1%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity385 trades · 102 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,85334d profit62d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue