0xceae15...0c7a2d

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.1%

Total P&L

+$54.2K

Trade Count

966

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

0.20

Max Drawdown

2882.7%

ROI

166.7%

Profit Factor

17.11

Kelly Fraction

0.471

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	8.1¢	103.45	Jan 21
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	SELL	13.0¢	73.6	Jan 21
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.9¢	938	Jan 21
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.8¢	938	Jan 21
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.7¢	938	Jan 21
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	1,538	Jan 21
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	938	Jan 21
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	938	Jan 21
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	938	Jan 21
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	938	Jan 21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	7.1¢	150	Jan 21
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	6.1¢	200	Jan 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	66.0¢	18.76	Jan 21
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	16.37	Jan 21
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	13.0¢	102.15	Jan 21
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	11.8¢	104.84	Jan 21
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?	SELL	97.9¢	15.47	Jan 21
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	SELL	42.0¢	35.01	Jan 21
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	SELL	78.3¢	20	Jan 21
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	27.0¢	59.17	Jan 21

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%

Win Consistency65.7%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity966 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$26,0662d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue