0xceb64f...b5d56e

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.6%

Total P&L

+$543

Trade Count

719

Sharpe Ratio

0.84

Sortino Ratio

4.50

Max Drawdown

557.8%

ROI

6.8%

Profit Factor

1.83

Kelly Fraction

0.212

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	48.0¢	20.833	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Mar 4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	7.0¢	71.429	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	8.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	78.6¢	38.165	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	61.0¢	49.18	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	93.75	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	25.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	28.7¢	96.46	Mar 3
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	79.0¢	37.975	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	115.385	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	44.0¢	68.182	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	50.847	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	78.0¢	38.462	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	30.8¢	97.403	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?	SELL	22.1¢	246.06	Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	67.0¢	44.776	Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	8.3¢	362.307	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	48.0¢	62.5	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	47.619	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%

Win Consistency50.3%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity719 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,67112d profit34d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue