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0xcebb0f...eda4aa

0xcebb0f...eda4aa
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
22.7%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
32
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Sortino Ratio
-0.08
Max Drawdown
2907.3%
ROI
11.5%
Profit Factor
2.58
Kelly Fraction
0.139
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.2¢1.24Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY99.8¢1.202Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?SELL99.2¢1.19Mar 5
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY99.5¢1.115Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢1.21Mar 5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.3¢1.241Mar 5
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY99.9¢1.141Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?BUY99.3¢1.198Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢1.217Mar 5
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL96.7¢1.27Feb 27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY96.8¢1.271Feb 27
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.4¢1.42Feb 27
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.5¢1.427Feb 27
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL98.7¢1.25Feb 27
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY98.9¢1.254Feb 27
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL99.3¢1.29Feb 27
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY99.4¢1.298Feb 27
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.1¢1.14Feb 27
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.2¢1.141Feb 27
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL97.7¢1.25Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%9%20–30%18%30–50%9%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%55%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.0%
Win Consistency22.7%
Profit Factor0.17
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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