0xcf21e0...5c18de

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.6%

Total P&L

-$4.2K

Trade Count

3,996

Sharpe Ratio

0.44

Sortino Ratio

1.80

Max Drawdown

461.3%

ROI

-4.0%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	100	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	15	Mar 5
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	1.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	5.8	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	14.2	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	30	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.7¢	54	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.7¢	46	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	30	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	18.0¢	81.18	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	100	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	15.6¢	10	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	15.8¢	10	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	15.9¢	10	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%

Win Consistency36.7%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity3,996 trades · 86 active days

P&L Calendar

$79,3424d profit82d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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