0xcf3707...0373e6

0xcf3707...0373e6
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
63.7%
Total P&L
+$250
Trade Count
124
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Sortino Ratio
1.03
Max Drawdown
2427.4%
ROI
3.2%
Profit Factor
3.27
Kelly Fraction
0.443
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
034.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 5?BUY94.0¢10.95Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 5?BUY94.0¢29.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 5?BUY94.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?BUY3.0¢30Mar 5
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?BUY98.5¢100Mar 4
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?BUY98.5¢100Mar 4
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY93.0¢38.75Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?BUY96.5¢7.66Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 3?BUY96.5¢30.621Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?BUY98.7¢0.58Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?BUY98.7¢240.769Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY2.5¢128Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 3?BUY1.8¢106.667Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY99.4¢1.61Mar 1
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?BUY99.4¢250Mar 1
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?BUY99.4¢1.55Feb 27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?BUY99.4¢250Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY1.5¢232Feb 27
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 2 above $430?BUY0.8¢247.5Feb 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 6?BUY99.2¢0.24Feb 5
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%76%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.6%
Win Consistency41.3%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity124 trades · 53 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7,8201d profit52d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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