0xcf49f9...0be890

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.3%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.09

Sortino Ratio

0.10

Max Drawdown

66.6%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

2.82

Kelly Fraction

0.376

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	42.0¢	137.62	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	137.62	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	39.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	54.43	Jan 9
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	54.435	Jan 9
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.7¢	51.15	Jan 9
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	51.153	Jan 9
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	52.15	Jan 9
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	52.156	Jan 9
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	55.44	Jan 9
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	55.444	Jan 9
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.3¢	45.27	Jan 9
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	43.3	Jan 9
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	45.272	Jan 9
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.3¢	43.303	Jan 8
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.8¢	48.04	Jan 8
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.9¢	48.048	Jan 8
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.3¢	54.32	Jan 8
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.4¢	54.326	Jan 8

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.5%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor1.07

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity55 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$412d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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