0xcf5e60...4c75c5

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.4%

Total P&L

-$10

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.50

Sortino Ratio

22.20

Max Drawdown

676.1%

ROI

-2.7%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	SELL	29.0¢	15.15	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	27.6¢	10.873	Mar 5
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	SELL	99.9¢	30.53	Mar 4
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	SELL	99.9¢	16.66	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	33.0¢	15.152	Mar 4
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	65.0¢	15.385	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?	SELL	0.1¢	32.25	Mar 4
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	66.0¢	15.152	Mar 4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?	BUY	8.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	SELL	2.0¢	19.25	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	34.0¢	13.11	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	43.6¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?	BUY	26.0¢	19.254	Mar 4
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	SELL	10.4¢	260.32	Mar 4
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	12.9¢	59.371	Mar 4
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	12.4¢	200.952	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.5%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity41 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$03d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue