0xcf8527...bb8bed

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.3%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.09

Sortino Ratio

-2.75

Max Drawdown

9795.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

17.07

Kelly Fraction

0.869

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	302.052	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	301.752	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	301.451	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	301.144	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	300.64	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	300.345	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	300.04	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	201.2	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	201.2	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 28?	BUY	99.6¢	68.484	Feb 28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 27?	BUY	99.7¢	10.028	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	94.0¢	10	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.1¢	10	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	SELL	37.0¢	10	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	10	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on February 25?	BUY	99.8¢	266.553	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%

Win Consistency7.1%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity17 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4700d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue