0xcf9036...ed7516

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.8%

Total P&L

-$29

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.43

Sortino Ratio

-0.26

Max Drawdown

3533.3%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.22

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Mar 4
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	96.1¢	10.408	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 2-8?	BUY	98.8¢	10.121	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?	BUY	97.0¢	10.309	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?	BUY	98.2¢	10.183	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?	BUY	98.5¢	10.152	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?	BUY	98.9¢	11.122	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?	BUY	99.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	98.5¢	10.152	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 February 23-March 1?	BUY	98.9¢	10.111	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 26?	BUY	98.9¢	10.111	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	BUY	98.8¢	10.121	Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	10.215	Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	11.1	Feb 16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	BUY	98.7¢	11.145	Feb 16
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	0.9¢	625	Feb 4
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.0¢	329.96	Feb 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.8%

Win Consistency64.2%

Profit Factor0.02

Drawdown Resilience0.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.01

Trading Activity87 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$6842d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue