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0xcf9555...867865

0xcf9555...867865
Smart Score
83
Win Rate
62.1%
Total P&L
+$176.7K
Trade Count
972
Sharpe Ratio
4.48
Sortino Ratio
24.52
Max Drawdown
27.0%
ROI
2287.3%
Profit Factor
229.67
Kelly Fraction
0.618
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
082.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Swiss National Bank decreases policy rate after March Meeting?BUY2.1¢1.032Mar 4
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL44.0¢2.273Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL34.8¢46.89Mar 4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY19.0¢6.22Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL31.5¢12.71Mar 4
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY31.3¢50Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY55.0¢11Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY55.0¢11Mar 4
Swiss National Bank decreases policy rate after March Meeting?BUY2.1¢1.328Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.2¢72.04Mar 4
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?BUY1.2¢33.998Mar 4
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY21.2¢20Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.2¢2.35Mar 4
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?SELL54.0¢54.3Mar 4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL16.0¢50.62Mar 4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY19.0¢22Mar 4
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY1.9¢25Mar 4
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?SELL34.0¢0.62Mar 4
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL2.3¢23.23Mar 4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?SELL26.0¢48.808Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%13%10–20%11%20–30%18%30–50%8%50–70%3%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro82.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)75.2%
Win Consistency56.3%
Profit Factor2.15
Drawdown Resilience1.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.73
Weekly Sharpe est.1.32

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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