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0xcfa846...6e21df

0xcfa846...6e21df
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
70.3%
Total P&L
+$1.6K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Sortino Ratio
9.84
Max Drawdown
52934.3%
ROI
16.3%
Profit Factor
1.50
Kelly Fraction
0.234
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 7?BUY15.0¢23.33Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 6?BUY0.9¢392.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 6?BUY1.4¢245.71Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?SELL52.0¢8.65Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?BUY49.0¢9.18Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?BUY14.0¢22.85Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on March 6?BUY1.0¢303.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?BUY14.0¢25.71Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 6?BUY2.9¢176.31Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 6?BUY8.5¢63Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?SELL15.0¢22.63Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢19.33Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢19.33Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢22Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 5?BUY10.0¢24.34Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY15.0¢22Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY3.0¢136.66Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 4?BUY2.0¢145.14Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY4.1¢33.18Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?BUY6.6¢68.32Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%7%10–20%6%20–30%14%30–50%15%50–70%18%70–80%20%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%
Win Consistency16.6%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$10,0700d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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