0xcfb992...b21e9a

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.4%

Total P&L

-$194

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

1.82

Max Drawdown

633.4%

ROI

-7.5%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ross Ulbricht say "FBI" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?	BUY	26.0¢	5	May 29
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?	SELL	23.0¢	5	May 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	20.0¢	5	May 20
Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?	BUY	43.0¢	10	May 11
Will Dortmund beat Leverkusen?	SELL	40.0¢	10	May 11
Will Dortmund beat Leverkusen?	BUY	39.0¢	10	May 11
Will Villarreal beat Girona?	BUY	41.0¢	5	May 10
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?	SELL	44.0¢	5	May 9
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?	BUY	42.0¢	5	May 9
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	SELL	44.0¢	5	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	38.0¢	5	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	66.0¢	195	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Tariff" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	66.0¢	440	May 7
Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	62.0¢	420	May 6
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?	BUY	37.0¢	260	May 4
Will the Giants draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?	BUY	24.0¢	5	Apr 23
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?	BUY	77.0¢	45	Apr 23
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 8th seed in the NBA 2025 Eastern Conference Play-in Tournament?	BUY	49.0¢	35	Apr 18
Will Trump say "Ukraine" 3+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?	SELL	44.0¢	40	Apr 17
Will Trump say "Ukraine" 3+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?	BUY	43.0¢	40	Apr 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%

Win Consistency54.0%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity53 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2922d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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