0xcff925...84795a

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

+$468

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.53

Sortino Ratio

-1.00

Max Drawdown

3419.2%

ROI

40.8%

Profit Factor

2.76

Kelly Fraction

0.191

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	8.6¢	98.93	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	8.7¢	141.96	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	8.9¢	51.64	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	8.7¢	136.95	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	16.0¢	108.59	Mar 4
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	14.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	44.99	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	151.667	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	151.667	Mar 4
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	151.667	Mar 4
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	14.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	BUY	16.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?	SELL	1.0¢	72.592	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	4.0¢	69.5	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	SELL	36.0¢	424.75	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.2%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.43

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue