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0xd044bc...fb2f75

0xd044bc...fb2f75
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
44.0%
Total P&L
+$15
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
2.98
Sortino Ratio
16.17
Max Drawdown
74.5%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.98
Kelly Fraction
0.218
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢17.308Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢7.22Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢7.224Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL77.0¢9.18Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢7.23Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢6.46Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢6.466Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢7.23Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ETBUY99.8¢8.016Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢5.319Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL65.0¢10Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL66.0¢14.92Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.3¢7.65Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.4¢7.653Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY67.0¢14.925Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL64.0¢10.93Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY64.0¢10.938Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%18%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%7%70–80%80–90%55%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.06
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.6%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor1.45
Drawdown Resilience1.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89
Trading Activity65 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1421d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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