0xd06425...b8c4d1

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.9%

Total P&L

-$587

Trade Count

3,995

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

4.61

Max Drawdown

2290.3%

ROI

-4.2%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?	BUY	41.0¢	2.439	Mar 5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?	BUY	73.0¢	1.37	Mar 5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	76.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	76.0¢	10	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	44.0¢	2.273	Mar 4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.6¢	400.84	Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	6.2¢	16.129	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	9.901	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	47.6¢	2.101	Mar 4
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.0¢	435.1	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.9%

Win Consistency25.2%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity3,995 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,3754d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue