0xd072b8...e987b1

Smart Score

Win Rate

35.3%

Total P&L

+$15

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.37

Sortino Ratio

10.09

Max Drawdown

321.2%

ROI

7.0%

Profit Factor

1.36

Kelly Fraction

0.094

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	42.0¢	23.81	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	31.25	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.8¢	29.928	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	23.0¢	72.46	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	13.8¢	72.464	Feb 18
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?	BUY	59.0¢	20	Feb 14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?	BUY	30.2¢	33.116	Feb 12
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?	SELL	98.0¢	30	Feb 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?	BUY	59.0¢	18.05	Feb 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	10	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	5	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	BUY	16.0¢	10	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	SELL	30.0¢	48.79	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	2.83	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	26.17	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	10	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BUY	36.0¢	10	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BUY	30.4¢	10	Feb 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	20	Feb 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?	SELL	45.8¢	15	Feb 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.0%

Win Consistency58.8%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.65

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity28 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$543d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue