0xd0d81f...637bbc

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.5%

Total P&L

-$212

Trade Count

765

Sharpe Ratio

0.27

Sortino Ratio

3.58

Max Drawdown

1180.8%

ROI

-11.5%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 5?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	8.37	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	1.0¢	99.92	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on March 6?	SELL	68.0¢	16.16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 6?	SELL	4.2¢	12.13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	85.0¢	16.933	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	11.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 6?	SELL	1.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	89.0¢	13.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 6?	SELL	1.2¢	38.51	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 6?	SELL	1.0¢	41.11	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on March 6?	BUY	80.0¢	16.16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	1.224	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	1.122	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	1.7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	1.796	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	2.041	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	3.061	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	2.0¢	11.87	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.1%

Win Consistency34.0%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity765 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$7982d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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