0xd0d996...4c4c69

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.0%

Total P&L

+$4.9K

Trade Count

143

Sharpe Ratio

0.34

Sortino Ratio

2.10

Max Drawdown

8343.3%

ROI

17.4%

Profit Factor

303.49

Kelly Fraction

0.897

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on March 7?	BUY	99.8¢	10.51	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	10.2	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	10.11	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 February 16-22?	BUY	99.7¢	14.77	Feb 19
Will XRP reach $2.20 February 16-22?	BUY	99.9¢	16	Feb 19
Will XRP reach $2.30 February 2-8?	BUY	99.9¢	12.7	Feb 7
Will Solana dip to $30 February 2-8?	BUY	99.9¢	18	Feb 7
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	30.67	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	SELL	99.8¢	30.7	Jan 25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.7¢	30.7	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	30.61	Dec 24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	31.34	Dec 24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	31.34	Dec 8
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	99.8¢	30.65	Dec 8
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	30.65	Dec 1
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.4¢	30.72	Dec 1
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.6¢	30.72	Nov 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 17?	BUY	99.9¢	8.89	Nov 15
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	6.16	Nov 13
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	15.55	Nov 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.1%

Win Consistency40.9%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity143 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$11,9480d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue