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0xd0ede5...354bf0

0xd0ede5...354bf0
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
98.4%
Total P&L
+$20
Trade Count
200
Sharpe Ratio
-2.21
Sortino Ratio
-2.22
Max Drawdown
1520.2%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
3.57
Kelly Fraction
0.708
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢6.466Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢5.102Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ETBUY99.9¢10Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.92Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.3Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢9.298Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢9.045Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢6.54Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢6.543Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢19.61Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢8.081Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢19.608Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL79.0¢12.75Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.6¢7.17Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.8¢7.157Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.3¢7.41Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.4¢7.415Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY78.4¢12.755Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢5.319Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%8%70–80%8%80–90%77%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%
Win Consistency47.8%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity200 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2043d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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