0xd10212...cb0241

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.6%

Total P&L

+$245

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.25

Max Drawdown

114.3%

ROI

9.8%

Profit Factor

3.26

Kelly Fraction

0.295

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	BUY	95.9¢	113.504	Mar 5
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?	SELL	94.0¢	200.91	Feb 12
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	45.218	Jan 6
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?	BUY	53.4¢	155.696	Jan 6
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?	BUY	94.2¢	79.06	Dec 23
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?	BUY	94.2¢	0.94	Dec 22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	SELL	54.0¢	49.81	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	SELL	54.0¢	10	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	SELL	54.0¢	54	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	SELL	57.0¢	16.66	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	SELL	57.0¢	7.63	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	BUY	51.0¢	189.79	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	BUY	51.0¢	10.204	Dec 11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	BUY	51.0¢	100	Dec 11
Will MrBeast say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the NYT DealBook Summit?	BUY	75.0¢	118	Dec 3
Will MrBeast say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at the NYT DealBook Summit?	BUY	75.0¢	9	Dec 3
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?	SELL	96.0¢	129.58	Nov 30
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?	BUY	87.0¢	129.586	Nov 21
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?	SELL	93.0¢	121.17	Nov 21
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?	BUY	92.0¢	121.174	Nov 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency72.2%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity78 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$4853d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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