0xd10348...ca9b91

0xd10348...ca9b91
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
95.5%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
22
Sharpe Ratio
-1.49
Sortino Ratio
-1.30
Max Drawdown
4799.9%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
60.93
Kelly Fraction
0.939
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 7?BUY99.8¢91.964Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?BUY99.6¢91.777Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢91.411Feb 25
Will "Overboard" be the top global Netflix movie this week?BUY99.9¢91.321Feb 21
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on February 13?BUY99.9¢91.231Feb 11
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)BUY99.8¢91.132Feb 9
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.10 on February 9?BUY99.9¢90.951Feb 8
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on February 4?BUY99.9¢47.807Feb 3
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)BUY99.9¢43.043Jan 29
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on January 26?BUY99.7¢90.762Jan 25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢90.49Jan 24
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on January 22?BUY99.7¢48.275Jan 20
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 19?BUY99.9¢48.128Jan 18
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)BUY99.7¢42.126Jan 18
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.70 on January 16?BUY99.9¢90.08Jan 14
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on January 10?BUY99.9¢46.946Jan 9
Will "11.22.63" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)BUY99.9¢43.043Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY77.7¢2.574Jan 5
Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)BUY99.9¢86.086Jan 5
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.40 on January 2?BUY99.9¢88.088Jan 1
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%95%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.2%
Win Consistency22.7%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity22 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,5790d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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