0xd18afe...e798ae

0xd18afe...e798ae
Smart Score
10
Win Rate
46.2%
Total P&L
+$1.5K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
-0.55
Sortino Ratio
-2.12
Max Drawdown
221.2%
ROI
1.7%
Profit Factor
1.03
Kelly Fraction
0.013
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
09.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL98.6¢50Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?SELL2.0¢50Mar 5
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL99.2¢109Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?SELL2.0¢109Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?SELL2.1¢50Mar 5
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL98.9¢50Mar 5
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY98.4¢100Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY1.0¢100Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY96.4¢45Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY2.7¢45Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY95.7¢78Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY3.8¢78Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY95.7¢49Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY3.7¢49Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY3.8¢30Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY95.7¢30Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY4.9¢30Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY94.6¢30Mar 4
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY95.0¢30Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY4.0¢30Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%9%10–20%12%20–30%17%30–50%16%50–70%13%70–80%8%80–90%11%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.54
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.9%
Win Consistency45.3%
Profit Factor0.25
Drawdown Resilience0.21
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21
Weekly Sharpe est.0.16
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 22 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$85,9261d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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