0xd194d4...6024b8

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.9%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

1,363

Sharpe Ratio

0.42

Sortino Ratio

22.51

Max Drawdown

602.6%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.02

Kelly Fraction

0.013

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	58.39	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	49.55	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	49.55	Mar 5
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	550.83	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	55.49	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	21.277	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.0¢	55.49	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	50.39	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	56.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	24.4¢	47.39	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	29.7¢	47.39	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	41.73	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	0.95	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	20	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	SELL	28.0¢	64.33	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	36.0¢	2.77	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	36.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	36.0¢	2.778	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	51.0¢	48.58	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	51.0¢	21.26	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency51.5%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity1,363 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,0704d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue