0xd19fdb...9ee312

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

-$3

Trade Count

302

Sharpe Ratio

-1.27

Sortino Ratio

-1.42

Max Drawdown

13482.4%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

13.15

Kelly Fraction

0.792

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	96.1¢	62.04	Mar 5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	94.8¢	62.33	Mar 5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	94.9¢	62.33	Mar 4
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	96.6¢	61.74	Mar 4
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	96.7¢	18.41	Mar 4
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	96.7¢	33.333	Mar 4
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	96.7¢	10	Mar 4
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	97.9¢	47.59	Mar 4
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	47.59	Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	97.8¢	56.46	Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	97.1¢	56.46	Mar 3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	97.1¢	52.98	Mar 3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.2¢	52.98	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	61.9	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	94.2¢	30.82	Mar 3
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	94.2¢	31.08	Mar 3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	91.0¢	60.1	Mar 3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	91.4¢	24.77	Mar 3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	91.4¢	35.33	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.4¢	48.64	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%

Win Consistency42.4%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity302 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$6711d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue