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0xd1a828...59d42f

0xd1a828...59d42f
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
59.6%
Total P&L
-$7
Trade Count
307
Sharpe Ratio
-1.58
Sortino Ratio
-1.40
Max Drawdown
1868.2%
ROI
-0.3%
Profit Factor
0.78
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
01.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢5.1Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢5.102Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.6¢5.38Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢5.388Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢6.55Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢6.55Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢8.114Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢8.081Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢9.8Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢9.18Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢6.383Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢10.21Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢10.214Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.7¢10.43Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.8¢10.438Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.5¢6.42Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.4¢6.424Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ETBUY98.9¢6.067Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%8%70–80%10%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.1%
Win Consistency42.7%
Profit Factor0.03
Drawdown Resilience0.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.02
Trading Activity307 trades · 33 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3707d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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