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0xd1c719...735a36

0xd1c719...735a36
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
75.5%
Total P&L
+$1.6K
Trade Count
256
Sharpe Ratio
1.25
Sortino Ratio
4.97
Max Drawdown
181.8%
ROI
19.7%
Profit Factor
2.12
Kelly Fraction
0.399
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.4¢120Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.7¢120Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.5¢130Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.6¢130Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢80Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢80Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY99.0¢110Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY1.1¢110Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.7¢60Mar 4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.4¢60Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY98.0¢50Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY2.1¢50Mar 4
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL1.6¢80Mar 4
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.8¢80Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY96.1¢90Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?BUY4.0¢90Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢40Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢40Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY94.4¢20Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY5.7¢20Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%4%10–20%3%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%3%80–90%41%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.0%
Win Consistency41.4%
Profit Factor0.94
Drawdown Resilience0.76
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity256 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,3920d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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