0xd1d61a...2f2eb9

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.0%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.75

Sortino Ratio

-1.30

Max Drawdown

623.8%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

62.28

Kelly Fraction

0.935

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	1.14	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	1.38	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.28	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.15	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	1.16	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.36	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	99.6¢	1.1	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.6¢	1.22	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.2¢	1.28	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	BUY	99.7¢	1.26	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	1.16	Feb 27
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	1.49	Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	BUY	99.9¢	1.25	Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	1.24	Feb 27
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.27	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.2	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.6¢	1.82	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.8¢	1.66	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on February 26?	BUY	98.9¢	1.16	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.8¢	2.03	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity21 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$280d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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