0xd25056...42b0a4

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.7%

Total P&L

+$390

Trade Count

426

Sharpe Ratio

0.89

Sortino Ratio

39.14

Max Drawdown

168.5%

ROI

3.6%

Profit Factor

3.48

Kelly Fraction

0.575

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.3¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	26.0¢	83.76	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	26.0¢	0.34	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	26.0¢	0.1	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	26.0¢	2.94	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	27.0¢	357.91	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	33.5¢	245.2	Mar 5
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	BUY	29.0¢	58.517	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	41.0¢	482.912	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	22.9¢	473.484	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	26.5¢	207.34	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	15.2¢	422.774	Mar 5
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	96.0¢	20.854	Mar 4
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March?	BUY	88.0¢	8.807	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	55.1¢	1.19	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	40.0¢	0.37	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	44.0¢	7.92	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	44.0¢	2.71	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	39.1¢	0.32	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	39.0¢	11.04	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.2%

Win Consistency50.8%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity426 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4717d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue