0xd25156...db4d37

Smart Score

Win Rate

26.9%

Total P&L

-$493

Trade Count

981

Sharpe Ratio

1.30

Sortino Ratio

26.46

Max Drawdown

328.6%

ROI

-3.7%

Profit Factor

0.91

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 6?	BUY	17.0¢	1.1	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 6?	BUY	17.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 6?	BUY	17.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	26.0¢	63.87	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	26.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	29.945	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 6?	BUY	17.0¢	6.37	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	106.67	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on March 6?	BUY	98.5¢	93.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	BUY	30.0¢	1.48	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	BUY	30.0¢	7.129	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	BUY	30.0¢	2.367	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	82.397	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.0%

Win Consistency71.0%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity981 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,2240d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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