0xd25fca...c332e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.4%

Total P&L

+$146

Trade Count

132

Sharpe Ratio

-2.19

Sortino Ratio

-2.15

Max Drawdown

13840.0%

ROI

1.3%

Profit Factor

28.02

Kelly Fraction

0.148

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	BUY	99.9¢	1,060.06	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	BUY	99.9¢	919.919	Mar 5
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	1,982.98	Mar 5
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	1,982.982	Mar 4
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	72.07	Mar 4
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	1,912.91	Mar 4
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	72.072	Mar 3
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	1,912.912	Mar 3
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	12	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.6¢	12	Feb 26
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	3.027	Feb 26
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	5	Feb 26
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	7	Feb 26
Sabres vs. Devils	BUY	51.0¢	310	Feb 25
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	98.9¢	4.04	Feb 25
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	20	Feb 25
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	20	Feb 22
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.8¢	9.01	Feb 22
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.6¢	11.02	Feb 22
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.8¢	9.018	Feb 11

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.3%

Win Consistency16.4%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity132 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1982d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue