0xd2a535...11f092

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.7%

Total P&L

-$46

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

13307.6%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

0.43

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	90.8¢	12.115	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	4.077	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	4.865	Feb 9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)	BUY	24.0¢	7.667	Dec 28
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	BUY	97.8¢	10.838	Dec 21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	BUY	98.6¢	10.598	Dec 18
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?	BUY	98.4¢	10.457	Dec 7
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	95.7¢	10.282	Nov 30
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?	BUY	94.0¢	9.84	Nov 28
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	BUY	74.0¢	1.56	Nov 19
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?	BUY	74.0¢	7.692	Nov 19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	SELL	99.9¢	6.85	Nov 19
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?	BUY	35.0¢	6.857	Nov 19
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?	SELL	92.3¢	2.61	Nov 19
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?	BUY	95.0¢	2.611	Oct 11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?	BUY	92.6¢	2.473	Oct 6
TikTok sale announced in 2025?	SELL	44.0¢	3.61	Oct 6
TikTok sale announced in 2025?	BUY	83.0¢	3.614	Sep 22
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?	BUY	37.0¢	4.243	Apr 22
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 11–18?	SELL	17.3¢	9.05	Apr 18

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency63.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity24 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1373d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue