0xd2fda5...dc3982

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.30

Sortino Ratio

-1.21

Max Drawdown

110311.0%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

91.29

Kelly Fraction

0.975

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	22.028	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.691	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.68	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.67	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.661	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.64	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.63	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	10.61	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.601	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.591	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.58	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.57	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	10.561	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.55	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.54	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.53	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.521	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.51	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.49	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency13.9%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity72 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$7540d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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