0xd3053d...643c45

0xd3053d...643c45
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
43.8%
Total P&L
+$219
Trade Count
106
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12
Sortino Ratio
-0.19
Max Drawdown
6802430.5%
ROI
5.8%
Profit Factor
3.74
Kelly Fraction
0.321
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
022.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL14.6¢70Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY27.4¢54.745Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY14.3¢70Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY46.3¢54.039Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL30.0¢25Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY20.0¢25Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL1.1¢219.79Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL23.0¢143.33Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY2.3¢219.792Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY17.4¢143.333Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL83.0¢103.22Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY75.7¢33.045Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY72.2¢34.62Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY70.3¢35.562Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL64.3¢76.66Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY46.7¢10.707Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY37.9¢65.963Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL51.5¢140.87Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL28.0¢150.15Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY35.5¢140.873Mar 2
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%12%10–20%7%20–30%36%30–50%16%50–70%14%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.6%
Win Consistency43.8%
Profit Factor0.59
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity106 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$17710d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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