0xd3129d...5dd76c

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.1%

Total P&L

-$59

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

0.57

Max Drawdown

121.4%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	52.0¢	38.462	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	31.0¢	64.419	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	41.8¢	23.923	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	5.2¢	192.308	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	28.5¢	87.731	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	40.1¢	59.002	Mar 4
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	SELL	67.0¢	30.44	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	15.9¢	20.48	Mar 4
Will the US strike Somalia next?	BUY	3.6¢	418.889	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	84.74	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	28.8¢	20.486	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	71.3¢	8.29	Mar 1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	13.7¢	365.101	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	59.9¢	8.297	Feb 28
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	39.4¢	101.485	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	5.9¢	84.746	Feb 28
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?	BUY	31.4¢	76.975	Oct 5
Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?	SELL	0.6¢	72.35	Oct 5
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	80.0¢	23.38	Oct 5
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	SELL	22.0¢	22.72	Oct 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency41.9%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity73 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$2984d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue