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0xd32ce8...c2a4c2

0xd32ce8...c2a4c2
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
54.2%
Total P&L
-$2.2K
Trade Count
3,997
Sharpe Ratio
-1.32
Sortino Ratio
-1.05
Max Drawdown
4137.0%
ROI
-3.9%
Profit Factor
6.11
Kelly Fraction
0.454
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY38.0¢24Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY97.0¢24Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY95.6¢24Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY70.0¢24Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY99.3¢24Mar 5
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.3¢24Mar 5
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.5¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?BUY99.9¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY37.0¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY99.4¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?BUY99.9¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY64.0¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY99.0¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY65.1¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?BUY99.9¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY99.0¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY99.3¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?BUY99.9¢24Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY36.0¢24Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY12.0¢24Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%7%80–90%72%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%
Win Consistency50.4%
Profit Factor0.60
Drawdown Resilience0.48
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37
Trading Activity3,997 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$56,4570d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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