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0xd33d9a...8e3b41

0xd33d9a...8e3b41
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
66.7%
Total P&L
+$27
Trade Count
430
Sharpe Ratio
-1.92
Sortino Ratio
-1.70
Max Drawdown
17615.5%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
3.39
Kelly Fraction
0.470
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢17.172Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢6.18Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢8.24Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢10.36Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢10.42Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.8¢9.2Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.8¢9.202Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢17.66Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢17.647Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢5.071Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL69.0¢8.82Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢8.824Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.8¢8.61Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢8.611Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢8.22Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢8.197Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL62.0¢11.47Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢11.475Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢9.81Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%18%50–70%8%70–80%7%80–90%65%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%
Win Consistency43.0%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity430 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5459d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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