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0xd3576f...e2c03a

0xd3576f...e2c03a
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
33.4%
Total P&L
+$250
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
1.27
Sortino Ratio
60.64
Max Drawdown
122.1%
ROI
5.4%
Profit Factor
0.73
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL13.0¢5Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL12.0¢1Mar 5
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?SELL46.1¢1.35Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL19.0¢1.25Mar 5
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL48.0¢5Mar 5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY28.0¢5Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY40.0¢5Mar 5
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY23.0¢5Mar 5
OKX IPO in 2026?BUY39.0¢5Mar 5
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY45.1¢1.35Mar 5
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY22.0¢3.84Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL18.0¢3.993Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY16.0¢5Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY20.0¢1.25Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?SELL20.0¢3.75Mar 5
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY52.0¢0.97Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY20.0¢3.75Mar 5
Kristi Noem out by March 31?SELL26.0¢5Mar 5
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?SELL30.0¢5Mar 5
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY52.0¢4.03Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%20%10–20%16%20–30%39%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency53.4%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 11 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$2336d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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