0xd35ce1...2f697c

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$625

Trade Count

240

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.14

Max Drawdown

1512.0%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

25.51

Kelly Fraction

0.721

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.2¢	49.65	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	30	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	30	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	40	Feb 18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	68	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1,156.39	Feb 17
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	BUY	93.0¢	61.22	Jan 24
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	98.2¢	60	Jan 24
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	50	Jan 24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	SELL	25.3¢	7.69	Jan 24
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?	SELL	19.0¢	12.82	Jan 24
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?	SELL	19.0¢	30	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	SELL	30.0¢	14	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	SELL	21.0¢	40	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	SELL	31.0¢	20	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?	SELL	22.0¢	20	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	SELL	31.0¢	6	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?	SELL	9.0¢	40	Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?	BUY	34.0¢	40	Jan 24
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?	SELL	77.0¢	12.34	Jan 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.0%

Win Consistency57.3%

Profit Factor0.89

Drawdown Resilience0.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity71 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2420d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue