0xd3938e...400744

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.0%

Total P&L

+$414

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

2.07

Sortino Ratio

25.25

Max Drawdown

3707907000000000000.0%

ROI

62.1%

Profit Factor

2.48

Kelly Fraction

0.275

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	6.8¢	90.26	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	SELL	6.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?	SELL	10.0¢	12.88	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	SELL	6.8¢	128.79	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	SELL	6.8¢	4.534	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	32.24	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	2.04	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	7.7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	1.65	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	131.677	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?	SELL	13.0¢	4.39	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	283.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	500	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	SELL	0.6¢	500	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	133.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	3.52	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.7%

Win Consistency51.1%

Profit Factor1.08

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1537d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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