0xd39a97...f1422f

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.2%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.18

Max Drawdown

2924.4%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

-0.61

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	58.64	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	58.64	Mar 4
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	59.71	Feb 24
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	59.71	Feb 23
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	56	Feb 6
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.5¢	56	Jan 2
Will Adam Sandler win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	98.4¢	57.35	Nov 24
Will Adam Sandler win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.4¢	57.353	Oct 15
Will US add less than 100k jobs in December 2024?	SELL	86.0¢	0.73	Dec 20
Will US add less than 100k jobs in December 2024?	BUY	88.0¢	0.739	Dec 20
Will 'The Substance' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?	SELL	95.0¢	0.32	Dec 20
Will 'The Substance' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?	BUY	96.0¢	0.323	Dec 20
Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?	SELL	93.0¢	1.01	Dec 20
Will Javier Milei attend presidential inauguration?	BUY	94.0¢	1.011	Dec 20
Will another player lead the NBA in Assists?	SELL	98.3¢	0.98	Dec 9
Will another player lead the NBA in Assists?	BUY	98.4¢	0.986	Dec 9
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?	SELL	98.9¢	0.34	Dec 9
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?	BUY	99.4¢	0.342	Dec 9
Will Nick Bosa win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?	SELL	98.7¢	0.16	Dec 9
Will Nick Bosa win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?	BUY	99.6¢	0.161	Dec 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.5%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.01

Drawdown Resilience0.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.01

Trading Activity8 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$13d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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