0xd39be6...95c6c1

0xd39be6...95c6c1
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
15.7%
Total P&L
-$996
Trade Count
475
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Sortino Ratio
0.07
Max Drawdown
380.4%
ROI
-9.0%
Profit Factor
0.32
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 19-25?BUY9.6¢262Jan 21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?BUY3.1¢325.103Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?BUY2.5¢394.059Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?BUY1.0¢1,000Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?BUY7.4¢67.568Sep 21
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?BUY5.0¢99.807Sep 19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY7.7¢64.935Sep 14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY1.4¢2.64Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY1.4¢92Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY1.4¢110.01Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY1.4¢102.5Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY3.3¢306.137Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY1.4¢42.84Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY2.0¢250.38Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?BUY9.4¢106.705Sep 13
WLFI above $0.20 on September 12?SELL80.0¢30.57Sep 12
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?SELL40.0¢44.04Sep 12
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?SELL40.0¢99.97Sep 12
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?SELL40.0¢2.5Sep 12
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?SELL40.0¢2.5Sep 12
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%58%< 10%15%10–20%9%20–30%15%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency30.8%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity43 trades · 16 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1052d profit14d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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