0xd3b4e3...31d10d

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.1%

Total P&L

+$22

Trade Count

301

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.79

Max Drawdown

7216.5%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

3.01

Kelly Fraction

0.434

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	7.15	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	82.0¢	9.77	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	9.756	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	7.042	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	10.26	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	10.246	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	8.114	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	6.16	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	6.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ET	BUY	97.8¢	5.112	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	7.51	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.2¢	7.511	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	9.184	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8AM ET	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	7.21	Mar 3
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.4¢	10.35	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.3%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity301 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$4306d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue