0xd3ba95...ec33b9

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.3%

Total P&L

-$102

Trade Count

3,222

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

6.56

Max Drawdown

3563.0%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

1.02

Kelly Fraction

0.010

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	39	Mar 5
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	39	Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	BUY	95.7¢	39	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	BUY	74.0¢	39	Mar 5
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?	BUY	0.5¢	300	Mar 5
House passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?	BUY	96.0¢	39	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Stock" or "401(k)" or "Roof" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	80.3¢	38	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Meta" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	82.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	45.0¢	38	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on March 11?	BUY	9.0¢	38	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	99.0¢	38	Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	4.0¢	75	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner	BUY	56.0¢	38	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.8¢	38	Mar 4
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	BUY	31.0¢	38	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BUY	97.8¢	38	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	48.0¢	38	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	50.0¢	38	Mar 4
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	38	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	73.1¢	38	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency40.6%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity3,222 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$32,3753d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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